I fear that Putin must punt at this point. Putin’s aggression into Ukraine most likely was planned a long time ago. He just didn’t have everything in place to make the move [in his mind], that is until Donald Trump lost the White House and Diaper Joe was ushered in. This weak White House administration created the perfect timing for Putin to move ahead with his plans to take an independent Ukraine without reprisal. Most likely he began laying out this campaign shortly after Diaper Joe and horrible Kamala took over. Diaper Joe made several gaffes early on, among them was one giving Putin the “green” light, making it clear that a Russian incursion into Ukraine would be tolerated by Joey, and it was tolerated, for awhile. Would Putin have made this move had Donald Trump won the election? No way, no how. But here we are, and I fear we’re going to get really involved in this mess should Putin not punt, and soon.
When more than 50% of American voters vote in incompetent people to lead us, guess what we end up with? Incompetence. I’m going to spare you what these fools are doing to our economy as we speak. However, I will say this – wars are stimulative to the U.S. economy. Always have been, check it out for yourself. The United States was in recession when we got involved in both World Wars; and one of the greatest U.S. economic expansions ever happened after World War II ended. However, this time is different, these lousy Democrats have done nothing but spend money from Barry to Pelosi to Schumer and now Joey, [clueless all], so I’m thinking anymore [spending] of that which we must borrow first will take inflation and interest rates even higher than where they are today; possibly even back to those early ’80’s mortgage rates of 18-20%? War is never pretty and should be avoided at all costs, however, I might add that rainbows only appear in the sky once the storm has passed. [Zero justification just the same in this case.]
Putin has all kind of problems now as the longer this war goes on the higher the probability that NATO must get involved, including [the most dreaded of all] troops on the ground. What will likely be the justification you ask? NATO will deem defense and restoration of an independent Ukraine [and its people] as necessary, on “humanitarian grounds”. And I’m predicting each day that goes by now there is no way the United States stays out of this conflict. It was totally unprovoked, Ukraine was just on Vladimir Putin’s wish list, that’s all. Plus Ukraine represented an eyesore for Putin along their Western border. So Putin was faced with a problem, how to keep his communist reign over Russia while at the same time risk a populace wanting to topple his dictatorship when they see people living in total freedom just outside their own border. That’s the mindset of a Commie, this is why the Chinese Communist Party will do anything to keep North Korea a Communist regime. The last thing they want is for South Korean democracy to spread into North Korea, eventually toppling the regime of Kim Jong Un. Have you seen a map lately? Communist North Korea and Communist China share a common border.
Back to the theme, Putin is most likely done as “Russian Dictator” one way or another, just in the carnage thus far brought upon innocent Ukrainians I do not see him surviving in office. Whether or not NATO or the hapless U.N. or some other policing body can force him to face a court tribunal is doubtful. Obviously, a coup inside Russia would be the cleanest way to remove him from power. Few of these Communist Dictators ever go to prison, they usually die in office [refer to my previous post, “Why Communist Dictators Never Hire Financial Planners”]. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out but I think things are forever changed in Russia now, as well as their reputation on the world stage. However, this pattern we see of illegitimate regimes sticking together during the tough times is nothing new. Regimes like China, Iran, North Korea, Russia, Venezuela, and Cuba – all of these countries have to stick together just to survive, as trade sanctions always restrict the amount of revenue they can generate and hence their aggression activities.
Threaten the Generals with war crimes, they’ll stop.
The Russians have one advantage, thus far no entity has stood up to claim to have the power to arrest the perpetrators of this atrocity and make them face any kind of tribunal. Not the U.N. Security Council, nor NATO has come forward to claim this authority, not yet anyway. I’m waiting. Or does NATO draft a new resolution stating that just because Russia and Ukraine are not part of NATO, NATO countries still have the authority to come to the aid of a non-member? This is yet to be seen. I would place my money on the Polish government to determine what happens next.