Only American dollars accepted here, you know the kind, still mostly green? And bearing the likeness of a meaningful representative throughout the 247-year history of the country, like George Washington. [My guess is George has been brought to tears in recent years]. I do pray for those that own any of these new-fangled want-to-be currencies though. No I really don’t, I was just kidding, actually I shake my head trying to understand them. However, there are recent developments in the world of Cryptos, our Woke Security and Exchange Commission [the S.E.C.], headed up by Leftist Woke Democrat Gary Gensler, not wanting to disappoint these Modern-day Neanderthals, has directed his S.E.C. to approve of a new way to invest in these “absolute nothings”. Gensler will be placing the S.E.C. stamp of approval on the first “Exchange-Traded” Crypto Fund, or ETF. I actually can’t wait for this to occur because now the rest of us have an easier and more convenient way to Short a whole basket of these meaningless virtual commodities – can’t wait! Finally we’re getting ready to see how married these investment novices are to their precious “nothings” known as “Crypto Currencies”.
I’m predicting this event once approved will finally expose this virtual asset class for what it has always been, pure bullshit! It could mark the beginning of the end to the last bastion of over-speculation in this country. Over-speculation that began when the Federal Reserve completed QE’s to infinity by engineering U.S. interest rates to zero, even sub-zero levels gave birth to investment ridiculousness. Born into this era were NFTs and SPACS which I warned about from their beginning; investors in these two vehicles have since been annihilated. And it looks as if, as I wrote a few years ago, Crypto could be the last of that graduating class of super-speculative and ridiculous investment opportunities to finally, finally collapse. What would one expect to happen who has ever studied economics after two decades of near zero U.S. interest rate policy?
We need to get passed all this, the entire country needs to get back onto a path of r-e-a-l-i-t-y. Utopianism along with its cousins, Climate Change and Wokeism must exit and quickly to get this country back on a real and sustainable course. As long as make-believes like these three ideologies are in control of U.S. economic output, we are lost as a country. Let me repeat that to make sure you are aware – “As long as make-believes like these three ideologies are in control of U.S. economic output, [Liberal Utopian-ism, Climate Change Initiatives, and Woke-ism] we are lost as a country, lost!
We are at the point of no return. Yellen and company are spending insane amounts of money. I read a good paper on FRED.com (St Louis FED) that showed interest on our debt will exceed 6% of GDP in a few years. The peice I read was dated in March and assumed 3.5% interest rates.
Most people are not “getting it”. I’m not a hound dog about budget deficits, I largely ignored them about the entire time I was managing money. But today I sound like one because this has reached a level of no return IMO. Socialism at its finest. The simple truth is insane Woke Liberal Leftists (Democrats) are running the asylum now. We cannot grow out of this debt, no possible way. What does that mean? You are already onto what it means. It means there will be a “Come to Jesus” at some point, there must be a reckoning of the lost souls in regards to the fiscal health of these United States. The current path is not even close to being sustainable.
There are reasons why I do not believe we have arrived there yet. The hash pipes are still being passed around inside all these federal departments and agencies and they are partying like it’s 2099 by golly! Our Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury and the White House and all Cabinet Heads, even the SEC for that matter, are all living out this Utopian make-believe lie.
These things take time, no one knows the exact date by which reality will strike. Reality will send repercussions and ripple wave effects through financial markets when it does strike so we’ll recognize that at the time. Bubbles can spring up at various times and take on lives themselves. I would refer to this recent time we’re in as a spending bubble. That will have the effect of putting pressure on interest rates to rise further. They are still in the tame camp. But all bets are off once our bonds lose their luster for buyers of our longer term debt. Accepting 5%/year on very short term debt seems much more attractive than taking on stock market risk and investing in woke corporations who deny we need an energy industry; that we can run everything using wind and solar; wait until they need to plug into an electrical outlet only to find out it has to sunshine for the next 10 days first, then come back and try again.
This country right now reminds me of a bad ex-wife – one hot mess! 🙂